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基于林木分级的大兴安岭天然兴安落叶松树高曲线研究

董灵泡/a>,邵威?/a>,田栋兂/a>,刘兆则/a>

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董灵? 邵威? 田栋? 刘兆? 基于林木分级的大兴安岭天然兴安落叶松树高曲线研究[J]. 北京林业大学学报. doi: 10.12171/j.1000-1522.20210513
引用本文: 董灵? 邵威? 田栋? 刘兆? 基于林木分级的大兴安岭天然兴安落叶松树高曲线研究[J]. 北京林业大学学报.doi:10.12171/j.1000-1522.20210513
Dong Lingbo, Shao Weiwei, Tian Dongyuan, Liu Zhaogang. Height curve of natural Larix gmelinii in the Daxing’anling Mountains of northeastern China based on forest classification[J]. Journal of Beijing Forestry University. doi: 10.12171/j.1000-1522.20210513
Citation: Dong Lingbo, Shao Weiwei, Tian Dongyuan, Liu Zhaogang. Height curve of naturalLarix gmeliniiin the Daxing’anling Mountains of northeastern China based on forest classification[J].Journal of Beijing Forestry University.doi:10.12171/j.1000-1522.20210513
doi:10.12171/j.1000-1522.20210513
基金项目:国家重点研发计划课题?022YFD2200502),中央高校基本科研业务费专项(2572022CG07),黑龙江头雁创新团队计划项目(森林资源高效培育技术研发团队)
详细信息
    作者简今

    董灵波,副教授。主要研究方向:森林可持续经营。Email9a href="//www.inggristalk.com/j/article/doi/10.12171/mailto:farrell0503@126.com">farrell0503@126.com 地址?50040黑龙江省哈尔滨市香坊区和兴路26号东北林业大学林学院

    责任作耄

    刘兆刚,教授,博士生导师。主要研究方向:森林可持续研究。Email9a href="//www.inggristalk.com/j/article/doi/10.12171/mailto:lzg19700602@163.com">lzg19700602@163.com 地址:同三/span>

  • 中图分类叶S791.222;S750

Height curve of naturalLarix gmeliniiin the Daxing’anling Mountains of northeastern China based on forest classification

摘要
  • 摘要: 目的基于林木分级构建大兴安岭地区兴安落叶松的树高曲线模型,为该地区兴安落叶松的生长规律提供理论依据及森林可持续经营提供技术支撑、/sec> 方法以大兴安岭地区翠岗林?6块固定样地数据为基础,根据单木相对直径( d)把林木分为了优势木、平均木、被压木3个等级,依据调整决定系数'i>R 2 adj)最大、均方根误差(RMSE)和赤池信息量(AIC)最小的标准筛选出天然兴安落叶松各等级林木的最优树高曲线基础模型,并进一步评价和比较分位数回归和哑变量回归对兴安落叶松不同等级林木树高曲线模型模拟精度的影响、/sec> 结果天然兴安落叶松树高曲线的最优基础模型均为Wykoff方程;当将林分分级哑变量同时添加在Wykoff方程的参?i>a咋i>b上时,模型的拟合效果最?其中兴安落叶松树高曲线模型的调整系数'i>R 2 adj)、均方根误差(RMSE)和赤池信息量(AIC)分别为0.858 8?.642 4? 081.902;兴安落叶松中的不同等级林木对应的最优分位数模型与林分整体无差别,均表现为中位数模型最优(卲i>τ= 0.5),其树高曲线的3个统计量则依次为0.849 8?.693 8? 211.037。经过比较分析可知,以林木分级为哑变量的树高曲线模型拟合效果最好、/sec> 结论含林木分级哑变量的大兴安岭兴安落叶松的树高曲线模型拟合效果优于基础模型,并且具有较好的预测精度和适应性,能反映不同林木等级下的树高、胸径的生长差异,可以为大兴安岭地区兴安落叶松的经营和生长预估提供理论依据、/sec>

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  • ?nbsp; 1不同林木等级的兴安落叶松残差分布

    Figure 1.Residual distribution ofLarix gmeliniiunder different tree grades

    ?nbsp; 2不同分位数兴安落叶松树高−胸径曲线模拞/p>

    Figure 2.Tree height-DBH curve simulation ofLarix gmeliniibased on base model, median model and different quantile groups

    ?nbsp; 3基于林木分级的哑变量模型模拟曲线

    Figure 3.Dummy variable model simulation curve based on forest classification

    ?nbsp; 2天然兴安落叶松不同等级林木的样本统计野/p>

    Table 2.Sample statistics of different grades of naturalLarix gmelinii

    林木分级
    Tree classification
    分组
    Group
    样本?br/>Number of sample plot DBH/cm 树高 Tree height/m
    最小倻br/>Min. value 平均倻br/>Mean 最大倻br/>Max. value 最小倻br/>Min. value 平均倻br/>Mean 最大倻br/>Max. value
    优势 Dominant tree 建模数据 Modeling data 726 9.8 16.9 35.5 6.4 14.1 24.6
    检验数 Validation data 311 9.7 16.8 33.1 6.8 14.2 22.3
    平均 Average tree 建模数据 Modeling data 485 6.6 9.8 20.7 5.8 10.6 18.0
    检验数 Validation data 208 6.7 9.6 15.8 6.1 10.6 18.2
    被压 Pressed tree 建模数据 Modeling data 863 1.0 4.7 10.8 1.5 6.0 17.2
    检验数 Validation data 370 1.0 4.7 15.8 1.4 6.1 15.0
    下载: 导出CSV

    ?nbsp; 3候选立木树高−胸径曲线模型

    Table 3.Model of tree height-DBH curves for candidate standing trees

    序号 No. 模型 Model 表达 Expression
    1 Wykoff $ {{H}} = 1.3 + {{\rm{e}}^{\left( {{{a}} + \frac{{{b}}}{{{{D}} + 1}}} \right)}} $
    2 Richards ${{H}} = 1.3 + {{a}}{\left( {1 - {{\rm{e}}^{ - {{cD}}}}} \right)^{{b}}}$
    3 Weibull ${{H}} = 1.3 + {{a}}\left( {1 - {{\rm{e}}^{ - {{b}}{{{D}}^{{C}}}}}} \right) $
    4 Korf $ {{H}} = 1.3 + {{a}}{{\rm{e}}^{ - {{b}}{{{D}}^{-{{c}}}}}}$
    5 Logistic ${{H}} = 1.3 + {{a}}/\left( {1 + {{b}}{{\rm{e}}^{ - {{cD}}}}} \right)$
    注:a、b、c为模型参数。Notes:a,bandcare model parameters.
    下载: 导出CSV

    ?nbsp; 4天然兴安落叶松不同林木分级区间树高曲线模型的拟合

    Table 4.Fitting of tree height curve models for different tree grading intervals of naturalLarix gmelinii

    等级
    Grade
    模型
    Model
    参数 Parameter 拟合精度 Fitting accuracy
    a b c R2adj RMSE AIC
    优势?br/>Dominant tree Wykoff 3.203 4 ?1.432 4 0.486 1 2.020 4 1 024.201
    Richards 19.957 7 0.069 4 1.166 4 0.484 8 2.021 5 1 027.003
    Weibull 19.937 5 0.049 0 1.083 5 0.484 7 2.021 6 1 027.044
    Korf 26.811 2 7.568 0 0.829 5 0.485 6 2.020 0 1 025.915
    Logistic 18.276 9 3.632 2 0.128 5 0.482 7 2.025 7 1 030.001
    平均?br/>Average tree Wykoff 3.073 8 ?.161 6 0.379 8 1.707 9 522.206
    Richards 14.567 3 0.158 9 1.906 8 0.378 6 1.707 8 524.166
    Weibull 14.088 9 0.041 5 1.425 1 0.378 4 1.708 1 524.341
    Korf 18.948 2 8.673 7 1.094 8 0.379 0 1.707 3 523.881
    Logistic 13.450 8 6.193 4 0.267 3 0.378 0 1.708 7 524.673
    被压?br/>Pressed tree Wykoff 2.717 8 ?.431 7 0.761 2 1.232 1 363.302
    Richards 19.397 0 0.075 6 1.178 4 0.769 8 1.209 1 332.720
    Weibull 17.919 5 0.051 1 1.148 2 0.769 8 1.209 1 332.754
    Korf 8.406 0* 6.917 0 1.856 0 0.769 9 1.208 7 332.159
    Logistic 9.299 3 10.021 2 0.485 7 0.762 4 1.228 4 360.010
    注:*表示在显著性水平为0.05下渐迚i>t检验不显著。Notes:*indicates that the asymptotic for the parameter is not significant at the 0.05 level.
    下载: 导出CSV

    ?nbsp; 5不同参数组合哑变量树高−胸径模型拟合优度与评价指栆/p>

    Table 5.Goodness of fit and evaluation index of dummy variable model with different parameter combinations

    参数 Parameter R2adj RMSE AIC
    a 0.848 8 1.699 7 2 225.612
    a?i>b 0.858 8 1.642 4 2 081.902
    下载: 导出CSV

    ?nbsp; 6哑变量添加在a、b上的参数

    Table 6.Parameters of dummy variable added toaandb

    参数
    Parameter
    a0 a1 a2 b0 b1 b2
    估计倻br/>Estimated value 2.689 9 0.490 5 0.410 3 ?.328 8 ?.772 9 ?.157 3
    下载: 导出CSV

    ?nbsp; 7分位数回归模型的参数估计

    Table 7.Parameter estimation of quantile regression model

    分位?br/>Quantile (τ) a b R2adj RMSE AIC
    0.1 2.906 7 ?0.193 5 0.615 4 2.673 3 4 123.071
    0.3 2.967 1 ?.020 3 0.810 0 1.905 2 2 703.786
    0.5 3.008 2 ?.401 5 0.849 8 1.693 8 2 211.037
    0.7 3.068 2 ?.982 1 0.814 9 1.880 5 2 649.209
    0.9 3.150 5 ?.373 0 0.583 3 2.821 1 4 348.549
    下载: 导出CSV

    ?nbsp; 8分位数回归模型的拟合与评件/p>

    Table 8.Fitting and evaluation of quantile regression model

    等级
    Grade
    分位?br/>Quantile (τ)
    拟合精度 Fitting accuracy
    R2adj RMSE AIC
    优势?br/>Dominant tree 0.1 ?.448 8 3.392 4 1 776.681
    0.3 0.238 1 2.460 2 1 310.143
    0.5 0.430 0 2.127 8 1 099.402
    0.7 0.386 1 2.208 4 1 153.350
    0.9 ?.279 4 3.188 0 1 686.427
    平均?br/>Average tree 0.1 ?.624 8 2.764 4 989.327
    0.3 0.220 8 1.914 4 632.898
    0.5 0.377 5 1.711 1 524.047
    0.7 0.170 2 1.975 5 663.402
    0.9 ?.979 2 3.051 1 1 085.027
    被压?br/>Pressed tree 0.1 0.383 2 1.980 2 1 182.192
    0.3 0.687 9 1.408 5 594.248
    0.5 0.744 9 1.273 4 420.189
    0.7 0.668 9 1.450 8 645.321
    0.9 0.249 2 2.184 8 1 351.874
    注:粗体表示兴安落叶松林木等级模型统计量的最优值。下同。Notes: bold font indicates the optimal value of the model statistics ofLarix gmelinii. The same below.
    下载: 导出CSV

    ?nbsp; 9兴安落叶松不同方法的树高−胸径模型独立性检骋/p>

    Table 9.Validation statistics for tree height-DBH models ofLarix gmeliniibased on different methods

    等级
    Grade
    模型
    Model
    MAE MAPE
    优势?br/>Dominant tree 分位数模垊br/>Quantile regression 1.550 7 11.304 1
    哑变量模垊br/>Dummy variable model 1.522 9 11.258 4
    基础模型
    Basic model
    1.561 4 11.400 5
    平均?br/>Average tree 分位数模垊br/>Quantile regression 1.461 8 13.778 2
    哑变量模垊br/>Dummy variable model 1.383 4 14.126 9
    基础模型
    Basic model
    1.404 1 14.588 5
    被压?br/>Pressed tree 分位数模垊br/>Quantile regression 1.137 7 20.336 1
    哑变量模垊br/>Dummy variable model 0.800 2 13.578 2
    基础模型
    Basic model
    0.907 9 16.265 0
    下载: 导出CSV
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    • 收稿日期:2021-05-13
    • 修回日期:2023-03-25
    • 录用日期:2023-03-30
    • 网络出版日期:2023-04-01

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